Bruce Bueno de Mesquita:
브루스 부에노 데 메스퀴타, 이란의 미래를 예측하다.

TED2009 · 19:05 · Filmed Feb 2009
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브루스 부에노 데 메스퀴타는 전쟁, 정치 권력의 이동, 반 이스라엘 투쟁... 같은 골치아픈 인간사를 (대부분 정확한) 예측하기 위해서 수학적 분석을 사용한다. 그는 어떻게 그런 예측을 하는 지 명쾌한 해설을 한 뒤, 이란의 미래에 대해 세가지 예측을 내놓는다.

Political scientist
A consultant to the CIA and the Department of Defense, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has built an intricate computer model that can predict the outcomes of international conflicts with bewildering accuracy. Full bio
This talk was presented at an official TED conference, and was featured by our editors on the home page.



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