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TED2009

febbraio 2009

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Bruce Bueno de Mesquita prevede il futuro dell'Iran

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita utilizza un metodo di analisi matematica per fare previsioni, spesso esatte, su eventi così complessi, come i conflitti, i cambiamenti del potere politico, l'Intifada...Dopo una chiara spiegazione sul suo metodo, ci regala tre previsioni sul futuro dell'Iran.

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This talk was presented at an official TED conference. TED's editors chose to feature it for you.

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita utilizza un metodo di analisi matematica per fare previsioni, spesso esatte, su eventi così complessi, come i conflitti, i cambiamenti del potere politico, l'Intifada...Dopo una chiara spiegazione sul suo metodo, ci regala tre previsioni sul futuro dell'Iran.

This talk was presented at an official TED conference. TED's editors chose to feature it for you.

About the speaker

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita

Political scientist

See speaker profile

A consultant to the CIA and the Department of Defense, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has built an intricate computer model that can predict the outcomes of international conflicts with bewildering accuracy.

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita | in Intelligence Analysis, Baruch Fischhoff and Cherie Chauvin (Editors), The National Academies Press, 2011 | Article

Applications of Game Theory in Support of Intelligence Analysis

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and Alastair Smith | International Organization, April 2009 | Article

A Political Economy of Aid

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and Alastair Smith | Comparative Political Studies, January 2009 | Article

Political Survival and Endogenous Institutional Change

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