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Bruce Bueno de Mesquita:
布鲁斯·布恩诺·德·梅斯奎塔预测伊朗局势的未来

TED2009 · 19:05 · Filmed Feb 2009
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布鲁斯·布恩诺·德·梅斯奎塔利用数学分析在预测一些人类突发事件,像战争,政权转变,巴勒斯坦起义等等(通常正确)。进过一番精炼的解释他预测的方法,梅斯奎塔对伊朗局势做出了三个预言。

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Political scientist
A consultant to the CIA and the Department of Defense, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has built an intricate computer model that can predict the outcomes of international conflicts with bewildering accuracy. Full bio

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