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Bruce Bueno de Mesquita faz uma previsão sobre o futuro do Irã

TED2009 · 19:05 · Filmed Feb 2009
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Bruce Bueno de Mesquita usa a análise matemática para predizer (muitas vezes corretamente) eventos humanos complexos como a guerra, mudanças politicas, a Intifada... Depois de uma dificil explicação de como ele faz isso, ele faz três previsões sobre o futuro do Irâ.

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Political scientist
A consultant to the CIA and the Department of Defense, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has built an intricate computer model that can predict the outcomes of international conflicts with bewildering accuracy. Full bio

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