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Bruce Bueno de Mesquita voorspelt de toekomst van Iran

TED2009 · 19:05 · Filmed Feb 2009
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Bruce Bueno de Mesquita gebruikt wiskundige analyse om zulke rommelige menselijke gebeurtenissen (vaak juist) te voorspellen als oorlog, verschuivingen van politieke macht, intifada ... Na een heldere uitleg van hoe hij het doet, maakt hij drie voorspellingen over de toekomst van Iran.

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Political scientist
A consultant to the CIA and the Department of Defense, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has built an intricate computer model that can predict the outcomes of international conflicts with bewildering accuracy. Full bio

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