May 19 2011: Conceptually, Dr. Carroll, that the universe is more likely to manifest an apple pie, rather than an orchard, some sugar, an oven, and then from these an apple pie, makes sense to me. This is an example of the random fluctuations of matter and energy in our universe - and furthermore that all possible "states" will one day be achieved. IF time is not circular but infinite, then do all of the finite configurations only happen once? I.e. If we detonate a bomb (one could substitute 'universe' here), which scatters its material far and wide, could a future configuration ever include the exact same bomb?
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