Jack Ophof

Maassluis, Netherlands

About Jack

Languages

Dutch, English

Favorite talks

Comments & conversations

171084
Jack Ophof
Posted over 1 year ago
How often do you guess right?
Brendan, thanks a lot for that entertaining story! There are many betting tactics and game theories created and as long as you play for money it will be a dangerous idea, as you demonstrated in your story. Luckily we don't encourage people to bet like that. Sure, you can make bets, but what if you've kept all that data from all the bets or little predictions you made in the last few years? You could see a certain trend emerge. For example, my predictions tend to be supported rather than opposed. These are 'safe bets'. (You win, but you get little to no points) My wife makes predictions that seem to cath people in the middle of the spectrum, evenly supported and opposed. (You will earn more points) And then there are the predictions where everybody thinks "no way!" (Here you will win the most points) So in the long term, you will see a grander view of your betting behavior, and ultimately, if you are a "better" better than the rest. Thanks again for your warm hearted response (:
171084
Jack Ophof
Posted over 1 year ago
How often do you guess right?
Thanks a lot, it seems you are absolutely right about your last statement and it should read "A prediction is basically an educated guess at best, and should have a success-rate higher than someone who is blindly guessing. Statistically some people should be higher on the success curve than others" So, while editing my post TED gave me an error about a CRFS Attack (dunno what that is) Any help would be appreciated. And thanks again, criticism is important (:
171084
Jack Ophof
Posted over 1 year ago
How often do you guess right?
Well thats what we want to find out, although I did not mean to claim that, it was a guess (: I should have stated that more clearly (I'm Dutch, so excuse my lapses in grammar)
171084
Jack Ophof
Posted over 1 year ago
How often do you guess right?
Lillly took the time to list a couple of obviously problematic guesses. I added an example guess to my post to clarify the kind I was looking for. That's why I suggested to look at the page for more examples. Furthermore, I' m typing this on an iphone 4, and trust me, input is do slow here (:
171084
Jack Ophof
Posted over 1 year ago
How often do you guess right?
Thanks Brendan! We've already seen that talk, but these predictions are about world events, not simple "heads or tails" guesses. These are kind of justifiable guesses Thanks for taking a minute chap!
171084
Jack Ophof
Posted almost 3 years ago
Is our math wrong? Is it our assumption of zero, or absolute nothingness?
I was not going there, and the all energy oneness stuff was by you (: You questioned the validity of the concept of zero. Valid point and I tend to agree, even though it brought us great intellectual knowledge. Nonetheless, in my opinion the same goes for the concepts above one. I'm not saying everything is one, merely suggesting that there are billions and trillions of 'ones'. That doesn't make it two, or three for that matter.