Talks

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita predicts Iran's future

You either have JavaScript turned off or have an old version of the Adobe Flash Player. To view this video you need to get the latest Flash player.
If your browser allows only "trusted sites" to execute Javascript, you should add the "googleapis.com" domain to your whitelist to allow our Flash detection to work properly.

Embed this video:

Email This Favorite Download

Audio

Audio to desktop (MP3): This link downloads an audio file directly to your computer. Right-click (or option-click on a Mac) to ensure download.
Audio to iTunes (MP3): This link launches iTunes on your computer, and adds an audio file into your iTunes library.

Video

Download video to desktop (MP4): This link downloads a video file directly to your computer or iPhone. Right-click (or option-click on a Mac) to ensure download.
Download video to iTunes (MP4): This link launches iTunes on your computer, and adds a video file into your iTunes library.
Watch high-res video (MP4): This link lets you watch a higher-quality version of this video. Right-click (or option-click on a Mac) to ensure download.

Discuss this Talk

Sort By:

Loading Comments...

Add a Comment

This comment will be attributed to name. Not name?

Open interactive transcript »

About this talk

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita uses mathematical analysis to predict (very often correctly) such messy human events as war, political power shifts, Intifada ... After a crisp explanation of how he does it, he offers three predictions on the future of Iran.

About Bruce Bueno de Mesquita

A consultant to the CIA and the Department of Defense, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has built an intricate computer model that can predict the outcomes of international conflicts with bewildering accuracy. Full bio and more links