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America: Headed toward the right/wrong direction?

In the aftermath of Standard & Poor's downgrade on the United States' credit rating, we have seen massive sell-offs in the world's markets. Although these phenomena may not fully be related, it still begs the question of whether or not America would remain economically solvent, especially in light of the rising Asian economies.

What would it mean for the world to have a United States that has fallen economically beyond recognition? Lastly, how do you think our current world economic landscape would affect YOUR life in the forseeable future?

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    Aug 11 2011: "government regulations were effectively dismantled"

    as i argued a lot of times, if you have a heavily regulated economic sector, and removing some of the regulations causes disaster, you can't blame it on the free market. it is still not a free market. about the causes of the 2008 meltdown, you can read that article summarizing the austrian view

    http://wiki.mises.org/wiki/Great_Recession
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      Aug 11 2011: the whole thing is funny becuase s&p had a direct hand in the meltdown in the first place. hahah.
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        Aug 11 2011: They did! They absolutely did! S&P was even paid by companies so that they could achieve prime ratings!
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          Aug 11 2011: yup^ they KNEW it was all junk. the fact they droped our rating and we cared proves we deserve EVERYTHING that happens with the financial breakdown.
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    Aug 10 2011: it has been since the 70's
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    Aug 10 2011: please make a very sharp distinction between the US economy and the US government. it is quite possible that the US government go bankrupt, while the economy is okay. i'm not saying that it is the case, but it is absolutely possible. and though both are in bad shape, the actual reasons are quite different. the economy is crippled by red tape, market interventions and credit expansion. the government is bankrupt simply because it spends much more than it has.

    also separate short term versus long term trends. america is still the source of freedom. not its government. not its majority view. but the thought of freedom is stronger in the US than for example in the EU or in india, just to pick too examples. majority of scientific progress also comes from the US. so i'm more optimistic about the long term trend.
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      Aug 10 2011: Thanks for your insights Krisztian.

      The economy and government are functions of the United States - the nation. Though the two are not the same, both are intrinsic parts of the same tree. The failure of the US government may well translate into the failure of the US economy. As we're seeing right now, through the disfunction of the American Congress, the failure of the US economy leads to chaos. As such I am very hesitant to make this sharp distinction that you're pointing out.

      You mention "It is quite possible that the US government go bankrupt, while the economy is okay." I don't believe this to be true. When the US government goes "bankrupt," make no mistake about it: the economy will falter.

      Can you clarify something for me? You say that "America is still the source of freedom." I'm unclear as to what this means. Liberty is such a precarious thing. Gauging it, as one might in the ups and downs of the stockmarket, is to mischaracterize it.

      Finally, it has been mentioned that the economy is crippled by, among other things, market interventions and credit expansion. I quite certainly disagree. It is the lack of intervention that caused the recession of 2008 in the US, and conversely, the relative success of the Canadian markets (as an example). Credit expansion was a necessity, and avoiding it would have led to disaster.

      Thanks again for your comment, and hope to hear from you again! This is the point of TED Conversations, and I'm delighted to have conversations with people smarter than I, such as you.
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        Aug 11 2011: if you blindly believe what government figures and their pawns in media tell you about 2008, you indeed get this impression. however if you dig deeper, you find government policies behind it. more precisely, interventions and credit expansion. austrian economists warned about the upcoming crash long before 2008. nobody listened. still nobody listens.
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          Aug 11 2011: I agree that the crash of 2008 had been predicted - by many sources, notwithstanding the Austrian economists you speak of - long before it happened. I'm afraid, however, that your postulation doesn't quite add up. Would you mind clarifying what you meant by "interventions"? For decades, leading to, and culminating in the George W. Bush era, government regulations were effectively dismantled to allow for free rein by big business. You suggest the opposite. Is this true?
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        Aug 11 2011: Christian - well argued

        Obama is not perfect (he never said he was) but he is the right person at the right time to lead us through the start of some pretty difficult changes to our economy and how we govern - in my opinion. He is the classic Change Agent. A catalyst. No one ever said change would be easy - or popular. In fact change often feels the opposite: hard and full of uncertainty. I think that in the short term things in the US economy and government will remain uncertain. What I think is happening is the beginning of what will ultimately be positive change, but at the moment "feels" like disaster looming.

        From as artistic standpoint Bob Dylan put his finger on what is happening now in the US (and to a large extent globally) with these lyrics:

        Come senators, congressmen
        please heed the call
        Don't stand in the doorway
        Don't block up the hall
        For he that gets hurt
        Will be he who has stalled
        There's a battle outside
        And it's ragin'
        It'll soon shake your windows
        And rattle your walls
        For the times they are a-changin'.

        Come writers and critics
        Who prophesize with your pen
        And keep your eyes wide
        The chance won't come again
        And don't speak too soon
        For the wheel's still in spin
        And there's not tellin' who
        That it's namin'
        For the loser now
        Will be later to win
        For the times they are a-changin'.
        Don't stand in the doorway don't block up the hall
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          Aug 11 2011: Thanks for your kind words Jim! I don't even live in the United States (I live in Canada!), but I follow their politics closely because, as I'm sure you know, what happens in the US affects everyone.

          I agree with what you said about President Obama. We can only hope that the Americans are receptive to his message, and are finally willing to make the necessary sacrifices to place their country on the right path once again.

          Thanks again and regards,


          C.
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    Aug 10 2011: Thanks for the comment Ed! Yes, I do posed this question because I believed it to be of paramount importance. I really think that we need to dissect this issue and place it at the forefront of our contemporary discourse. What I mean is that this is something that the world should give definitely give adequate attention; because right now, it definitely does not.
  • Aug 9 2011: It is interesting

    the potential that this topic has relative the another topic with was floated at TED awhile ago and that is "listening"

    A working example is the statement China put forward 4 days ago

    "International supervision over the issue of U.S. dollars should be introduced and a new, stable and secured global reserve currency may also be an option to avert a catastrophe caused by any single country."

    the latter "option" was all that was heard by the western press...the first part completely ignored,

    Re your questeion .."waht would it mean?" ..it would mean very much as the Chinese Governmant suggest...we would live and function with a global currency with gobal suervision of Bonding agencies etc. No it is not going to happen any time soon but the S&P 2.0 Trillion $$ ooops!! error is a good example of the need for change