TED Conversations

Doug Edwards

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How well do you think test/exam scores predict a person's future success with a particular subject?

Test and exams seem (I'm using the word "seem" very intentionally) to be a way to measure what someone learned in the past (after having taken a course for example).
But can tests really predict what's important? That is, future successful action!


Closing Statement from Doug Edwards

Thanks everyone for your contribution to this question. If I had to summarize: you think that tests alone (some intelligence tests excluded) are not enough to make a prediction, but are mainly useful to see a student's progress (or lack of it). Your thoughtful answers were very helpful to me.

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    Mar 1 2014: Tests and exams can not really predict the future; but there has to be a criteria for learners' assessment, and it has to have a common basis.

    The future is largely in the hands of the students/pupils. Exams and tests helps to seperate the 'chaff' from the 'wheat', the 'dross' from the 'gold'.

    Who is the chaff? Who is the wheat? Who is the dross? Who is the gold? The learners' get to decide this by what they do after schools have their say.
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      Mar 2 2014: Thank you Feyisayo. Interesting points. Do you think that if a test determines someone as chaff and someone else as wheat, that the chaff will stay as chaff and the wheat as wheat? In which case the test predicted something. I suppose that could make some of the chaff people to desire becoming wheat, but it may also cause others to think they are always going to be chaff. What do you think?
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        Mar 2 2014: I agree with you. One's choice is usually based on influences, but it is still a personal choice.
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          Mar 3 2014: Influence, there's a lot there to think about. Thank you!

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