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We will NOT find an alternative to energy dense, easily transportable conventional oil in time to sustain indefinate economic growth.

All alternative energies have one or more disadvantages that do not let them compete with cheap conventional oil.

Given our industrial civilization depends on massive amounts of cheap energy, the reliance on conventional oil is enormous.

The only quick solution I see is a drastic downscaling of economic activity.

Topics: energy
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  • Feb 24 2013: How would you survive, maybe Create energy in small amounts and work up. Like they had to do in the early years. can I just ask How would your subscribers cope without internet and electricity. Possibly you cannot see the Future as a worker can see it . Take a step back and REALLY think LOGICALLY. Our Ancesters made Great Strides without computers WHY can't we OR have we really lost our Knowledge to computers
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      Feb 24 2013: I know I have made the argument that current energy generation is based on business models and the profit motive is the driving factor. Further, I have noted that that the "Climate Change" crisis has about as much validity as the last "Climate Change" crisis in the 70s, but let's open up this discussion globally.
      7 billion people.
      1 Billion in China
      India: 1 billion,
      Islamic states: 1 billion
      Western States (USA, Europe, British Commonwealth) S Korea, Japan, Taiwan, 1 Billion,
      The rest of the World, over 3 billion

      If we look at this list you will see 5 groups who all have differing goals, visions, needs and wants.
      Only the Western States have made promises to control the use of Fossil Fuels and have undertaken active roles in the diminished use. The other states have encouraged the promised reductions. There is a finite amount of these fuels available and if the western states cut back... more for them.

      So, if we do cut back and don't find a suitable, usable replacement source of energy, we will be living like our ancestors or worse yet, be working for and at the pleasure of one of the other groups. And I am not sure great strides will be required.
      If there is some question about the sense of humanity in man, a morality or a spiritually, I wish I could be more optimistic, but,when we look at the history of our species, not good. I think we are the only animal that kills for the sake of killing.

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