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When will we have the first 'clever' Robot? And if it is imminent (< 25 years), why are we not planning for change greater than any before?

IBM and others are getting close to creating robot brains with similar complexities to small mammals, such as a cat, and are on target for delivery by 2017. This bodes well for clever, learning, robots within 25 years.
see http://www.artificialbrains.com/darpa-synapse-program

We don't need sentient robots or machines to automate many industrial or administrative tasks. These new types of robotic brains will be able to learn and improve. This will mean that these new systems will be able to handle complex tasks that cannot be programmed.

Further enhancement will be derived by local robots co-ordinating tasks using data centre knowledge for more complex applications and feedback for assessment that flag up any issues that require intervention. This ability to network knowledge, processing and feedback via the cloud will happen at ever increasing speeds.

The resulting inescapable economic pressure will create a massive new robotic and automation industry. Within a short time, robots and machines will be taking over many of the simpler and more complex tasks within industry, within administration and in the home. As the robotic industry will also use automation to manufacture more of the same, the costs will tumble and there will be a relentless surge forward towards automation.

The replacement of many people world-wide in a relatively short timescale (5 to 10 years period) will create massive economic and political pressures. Businesses will either automate or go bust. Businesses will shed labour like nothing ever before.

Governments world-wide will be faced with growing concerns with massive unemployment and dismay for any future improvement. Soon, the world’s largest economic nations will start to see a breakdown in their communities. What will they do?
Should we start planning now for this seemingly inevitable scenario?

http://www.commonsensethinking.co.uk/history1.html
http://www.commonsensethinking.co.uk/opportunity.html
JP

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  • Nov 18 2012: You already have the "clever robot" in your midst.
    They are humans who have been made into mental robots.
    They are told what to believe, what to think,what to say and what to do.
    Conversely, they are told what not to believe, what not to think, what not to say and what not to do.
    They have been rendered into a form of Artificial Intelligence. It/They can do paper work, drive cars, carry on conversations have families and do many, many things. That is why they "seem normal" and that is what is so clever about what has been done to them. It is also clever because many people believe they are fine, not recognizing them as robots and thus not recognizing the amount and degree of Artificial Intelligence that has been embedded into their psyches as well. If you cannot spot it, it is because you are one. It's been done to you.
    Corporate training is about training workers to be robots in their beliefs, their thinking, what and how they speak and what they do. Conversely, what beliefs they are told not to have or hold, what thinking never to entertain, what cannot be spoken any longer and definitely what not to do.
    Police, SWAT teams, those who work with them, are being trained into robotic loyalty. Military is extreme and in the media and sports, glorified in movies, TV and Monday Night Football.
    We all know there are strings attached to every thing. You have to look but you can see them attached to politicians who only tell you what they already know you have been programmed to want to hear.
    If you vote, you are a robot, doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results. You've gone haywire.
    Robots believe authority is the truth, rather than truth being the authority.
    One reason is that they lose the ability to hear, see, sense, remember or know the truth.
    Robots believe they can somehow fix a system that is broken and unjust if they have ethical, caring, humane, honest leaders. They don't, never will but they do the same things over and over, expecting...

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