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Mitch Skiles

Owner/Contributor, LuxPerci.com

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Can we look at the past when looking for future solutions to modern problems?

I read a book called "The Black Swan" by Nassim Taleb which proposes the idea that the world is incredibly unpredictable. These "Black Swan" events control integral moments in the history of our species; whether that be a stock market crash or 9/11. In hindsight we may see a trend, but at any given moment the future of a new black swan event is impossible to predict. I am wondering that if this is the case, can we still look into the past to find solutions to problems. I did an analysis of Israel while looking for a solution to the Arab-Israeli Conflict and found an interesting economic trend when compared to cooperation. (If you would like to read my study visit http://luxperci.com/solution-arab-israeli-conflict/ ) Is this a fair assumption?


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    Aug 26 2012: In re-reading your offered post ( http://luxperci.com/solution-arab-israeli-conflict/ ), it seems that you are SUGGESTING that we repeat the past to fix the present.

    You suggest taking people who have been turned into enemies and forcing them to share a government, AND you are suggesting a national bank that represents the fundamental breach that causes today's distress. That's what the Versailles Treaty that started this whole mess did. It was all about money and power.
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      Aug 26 2012: Thank you. I did indeed look to the past to formulate a solution to the problem which is why I posed the question (and have been playing devil's advocate) However through doing that research I found many examples and studies of the moderates opinions of each other (which constitutes the majority) and found that in reality the "enemies" you talk about are actually a small minority that consume much of the media's attention. So it isn't necessarily accurate to say that a shared state would be impossible (if the extremists were not in control). I do however agree that money and power played an integral part of creating this mess (as they both play parts in the majority of the world's problems) however money can also be used for good when you take power and greed out of the equation. And there are many instances in the past and present that indicate this. Whether or not it is fair to assume such a generalization however is quite controversial (as seen in this discussion)

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