A Conversation with Shell
Through the TED Conversations platform, Shell is partnering with TED to engage the community in meaningful discussion on key global issues.
Nick Allen
Vice President,
Shell International
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A conversation with Shell: How can the smarter use of energy and other resources unlock the true potential of cities?
There are 7 billion people on this planet, and half live in cities. In 40 years there are likely to be 9 billion, and three quarters of these will be urbanites -- that's the equivalent of building one new city of 1.3 million people every week for the next 40 years.
The world has never experienced a pace of change like this, and the transition will create new challenges and new opportunities.
Energy is at the heart of this revolution. It courses through the veins of cities and how cities use energy in the future will be critical to their successful development. But, it is not just about energy - how cities develop will also have a huge impact on water, food, waste and the environment.
During the week of TEDGlobal, we will debate many of the challenges that face cities. What would you propose to overcome these challenges?
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Nick Allen 100+
It would be impossible to do justice to everything that was discussed...but here's a quick summary of the ideas that came out:
a) individual behaviour is deeply ingrained and we need to understand this better
b) understanding individual freedom of choice is key, amd especially how this fits with delivering an overall social benefit
c) urban planning is a big subject and one consideration is the development of smaller self contained cities within cities
d) in designing solutions we need to learn from how the Internet developed - creat the platform/standards to create Peer-to-peer connections/collaborations
e) we need to take advantage of the rapid growth In neuropsychology and behavioural economics to help better understand how people make choices in city transportation
f) cities are diverse and their needs/requirements are so contextually driven that the combination of solutions will be unique to each city (the needs of developing/developed markets are very different)
g) electric vehicles will play a role in some cities along with other solutions - need to be pragmatic in designing the infrastructure
h) the role of data and information technology to transform what's possible is potentially immense
I) players need to be open for collaborations - because collaboration will be critical to successful solutions
J) a radical idea of governments designing a system that lives within identified limits (ie: resources) then working out how we live/operate within that
h) moving goods can be redesigned/optimised...
Clearly, there are conflicts/contradictions here...but there sits the challenge...and the opportunity...
R H 20+
Greg Lavery
Is the problem just too big and broad to be funded?
Nick Allen 100+
My learning is that advancement will come through collaboration between the groups you mention - and a 'market place'/platform will help with this.
thomas le calvé
We (the people) are slowly understanding that no one really pays..
All buildings, from big infrastructure to the small tool are paid with the complex-looking financial system, which is just a simple virtual-cash machine :
World dept was $216 billion in 2011, but world GDP was only $79 billions...
World growth was 3.6%, but deficit 4.2%..
[source:CIA:https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/xx.html]
This is no magic : the banking system is allowed to create money, not the actual coins and bills (the M1 monetary mass is just $26 billions), but any virtual money you want if they trust you will pay them back. In fact they don't even need you to pay back, because if you can't, they can resell what you've bought/create with that "money".
The same system drive the business system, where the only thing that is relevant is IP (intellectual property). It doesn't mater if you have a good or stupid idea, until it do produce "money". And because 90% of money is dept, any idea that could make dept obsolete has very few support from institutions.
And this system, which is an insult to the human genious, is what drive the industry.. If we continue to trust that system, we're doomed.
But we can be very optimistic because that system is producing en exponential dept, and this is impossible because it means dept will soon be infinite ;-)
I don't know what system is emerging now, but ressource based economy looks promising, only if it is truely open to anyone, anywhere, at anytime..
The only thing that made it impossible is until now is imaginary. This thing has very ancient root, in religions mostly, and it is, I think, the belief that believing is mandatory for something to be true.
Somehow, humanity as a whole is just like someone plague with neurosis, doing all life long something that makes him suffer, without have a single clue of WHY.. Is sad or comical ?
griffin tucker 10+
if this is going to happen, the human population density will decrease, as the more popular power grids will be more expensive to live near to maintain house-hold power consumption, and as that happens, power output in remote areas will be potentially earning more energy and also potentially more money too, as homes output energy back into the grid as a energy:currency ratio.
i'm not too sure how well that will field in the social spectrum, though...